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AI in 20 Years December 2, 2016

Posted by kmeach in AI Present and Future.

In 20 years I would expect AI to be established technology which is in use everywhere and by everyone.  I think if we look back on the history and trends of a few major products we can see just how embedded AI has become in our lives already.

Microsoft Windows 1.0 was released on November 20, 1985.  [1] I can remember when Windows first came out and it made computers accessible and understandable to the masses.  Entire industries changed to accommodate computers because of this and this laid the groundwork as one of the first widely commercial simple AI systems in that it allowed non-technical people to make use of the memory and computing power located inside the machine.  It would be hard to find someone who does not have experience using Microsoft Windows over the past 30 years.

The first generation iPhone was released on June 29, 2007.  [2] The Apple Iphone was another big step towards AI, probably even more so than Windows because it took computers from desks and put them in everyone’s pockets for reasonable prices.  The entire software industry had to start accommodating the functionality Iphones allowed and software programs which used to be run on desktop machines now had to be made into small apps with screen size, computing, and vendor restrictions.  New AI tasks moved things like maps from our vehicle gloveboxes and Garmins to the smart phones in our pockets.  All it takes is one trip outside your home to see people of all ages walking around holding, glancing, or staring at their smart phone to see the impact Iphones have had.

Finally, Siri has been an integral part of the iOS operating system and was introduced as a feature of the iPhone 4S on October 14, 2011. [3] The Siri AI assistant is the most widespread AI in use today.  There are over 94 million Iphones currently in use just in the US. [4] So how many people use Siri?  Sixty-two percent of iPhone owners use Siri in the car. [5] Siri is great when you are alone and driving and cant stare at a screen.  “She” is even programmed with some light personality and can tell a joke or two.  I really can’t imagine ever trying to cycle through an application list like a phone book ever again when AI like Siri is available to do those low-level tasks for me.


[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windows_1.0

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPhone_(1st_generation)

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siri

[4] https://www.cnet.com/news/nearly-100m-iphones-in-use-in-the-us-new-study-shows/

[5] http://www.businessinsider.com/98-of-iphone-users-have-tried-siri-but-most-dont-use-it-regularly-2016-6



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